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A new survey by Global InfoAnalytics indicates that John Dramani Mahama (JDM), the leader of the National Democratic Congress (NDC), is continuing to lead the ruling New Patriotic Party’s (NPP) vice president, Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia (DMB), by a significant margin as the elections in December 2024 approach.
51.1% of devoted voters support Mahama, according to the poll, while Bawumia is in second place with 37.3%.
With 1.3% going to other candidates, independent candidates Alan Kwadwo Kyeremanten (AKK) and Nana Kwame Bediako (NKB) receive 4.1% and 6.2% of the vote, respectively.
Mahama maintains his lead with 49.3% of the vote against Bawumia’s 35.9% in an unweighted likely voters’ model.
The survey also reveals a concerning pattern of voter indifference within the NPP, with 16% of prospective voters identifying as ruling party supporters compared to 3% of NDC followers.
Furthermore, 38% of non-voters are floating voters, and 39% are those who did not reveal their party identification, posing a serious threat to the NPP.
Mahama leads Bawumia by 18 points among those who do not reveal their party affiliations and by a significant 31 points among floating voters (54% to 23%).
Mahama has remarkably overtaken Bawumia among first-time voters, securing a 46% to 38% lead over the latter. This is a notable change from the July 2024 survey in which the two candidates were deadlocked.
On the other hand, Bawumia has lost about 4% of Muslim voters since July, a significant segment of the electorate for his campaign.
70% of those who voted for President Nana Akufo-Addo in 2020 are still Bawumia supporters, according to the poll, while 19% have switched to Mahama.
Twenty percent of 2020 NPP voters in Greater Accra and thirty percent of votes in Central have converted to Mahama. In the region, Mahama is now in the lead in 12 areas, including Bono, while Bawumia is in charge in the Ashanti, Eastern, Ahafo, and North East areas.
Bawumia’s status is being complicated, particularly in the Ashanti and Eastern regions, by the rise of independent candidates Nana Kwame Bediako and Alan Kyeremanten.
Bawumia presently has 66% of the vote in the Ashanti region, while the NPP seeks 85% support. Mahama has 22% of the vote, while Bediako and Kyeremanten receive 7% and 4% of the vote, respectively.
The ruling party may have difficulties as it prepares for the elections due to this dispersion of support.
The study also highlights the major factors that influence voter attitude, with the economy, employment, and education ranking first. The economy was cited as the main concern by a substantial 70% of respondents, followed by jobs (62%) and education (48%).
Furthermore, 62% of voters think that the nation is going in the wrong path. Those who favor the NDC (88%), independent voters (74%), and other party supporters (76%), are the most dissatisfied with this sentiment.
On the other hand, 64% of NPP supporters believe that things are going well in the nation.
Source: Ghanatodayonline.com
