Wontumi to win by 57.8% -Another research by Dr Smart Sarpong

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Research conducted by a Senior Research Fellow with the Kumasi Technical University, Dr Smart Sarpong has predicted a win for the incumbent chairman for the New Patriotic Party (NPP) in Ashanti Region Bernard Antwi Bosiako(Wontumi) in the upcoming regional elections.

The NPP is going to the poll to elect new regional executives to govern the party for the next 4 years and Ashanti Regional Cordinating Council (RCC) has been confirmed by the Ashanti Regional Minister who is the Election Committee Chairman, Simon Osei Mensah as the venue for the elections on Friday, May 27.

According to the research many delegates says they will vote for the incumbent chairman Wontumi because they cannot blame him for the party performance during the 2020 elections but rather blame it on the National Executives failure to release election logistics on time.

They also use negative influence of independent candidates as a cause of their poor performance during the 2020 polls.

According to the research all aspirants had good messages, but many delegates believes that Chairman Wuntumi has the agility and resilience to overcome the machinations of the main opposition in Ashanti.

The research led by the Dr Smart Sarpong sampled the views of 540 out of possible 869 delegates.

The study also affords all aspirants the opportunity to marshal out strategies to overturn or consolidate their fortunes as presented.

Read the findings below:

NPP Polls: Who leads the NPP to break the 8

Who Leads The NPP To Break The 8 Scientific Evidence from Ashanti Region

 

Dr. Smart Sarpong (Snr. Research Fellow)

Kumasi Technical University

24th May 2022

 

PRESS STATEMENT

 

Introduction

Ladies and gentlemen of the PRESS, GOOD Morning

As a researcher I take interest in happenings around me and takes the pain to

determinate findings where the need be. This morning I present to you very

interesting findings from my visit to all the 47 constituencies that make up the

Ashanti Region. This regional election has some 3 unique characteristics.

  1. The NPP wishes to break the 8, and executives to be elected will be responsible

to ensuring that, the wishes become a reality.

  1. The incumbent is seeking to break the 8 in a competition with four (4) strong

men of almost equal stature.

  1. The Executives to be elected will have to come face to face with a likely tough

team from the opposition NDC in Ashanti.

The national party (NPP) recorded a net loss of -2.5 (2020: 51.2% vs. 2016: 53.7%)

and is seeking to improve on its performance in 2024. On the other hand, the

regional party (NPP) also recorded a net loss of -3.5 (2020: 72.8% vs. 2016: 76.3%)

and is seeking to improve on its performance in 2024. In fact, all constituencies in

Ashanti recorded a net loss in 2020 votes apart from Sekyere Afram Plains, Adanse

Asokwa and Oforikrom constituencies.

Based on the above, this study was undertaken to understand the choices of

delegates in respect of who leads them to possibly break the 8.

Methodology

Findings

 

REMARKS

  • According to many delegates, Performance of the region in Elections 2020 was

more blamable on National than the person of the regional Chairman. Very

late release of Election logistics and negative influence of independent

candidates are some of the causes.

  • All aspirants had good messages, but many delegates believes that Chairman

Wuntumi has the agility and resilience to overcome the machinations of the

main opposition in Ashanti.

  • The study affords all aspirants the opportunity to marshal out strategies to

overturn or consolidate their fortunes as presented.

 

WISHING ALL ASPIRANTS, THE BEST IN THE COMING REGIONAL ELECTIONS

NET WIN/LOSS ANALYSIS

 

NATIONAL

2020: 6,692,630 votes (51.2%)

2016: 5,766,107 votes (53.7%)

Loss: -2.5%

 

REGIONAL

2020: 1,793,629 votes (72.8%)

2016: 1,646,949 votes (76.3%)

Loss: -3.5%

 

CONSTITUENCIES

AFIGYA KWABRE NORTH

2020: 20,825 votes (67.0%)

2016: 18,658 votes (74.3%)

Loss: -7.3%

 

AFIGYA KWABRE SOUTH

2020: 68,378 votes (82.7%)

2016: 50,740 votes (85.9%)

Loss: -3.2%

 

OBUASI EAST

2020: 28,689 votes (67.4%)

2016: 27,952 votes (70.1%)

Loss: -2.7%

 

BEKWAI

2020: 55,923 votes (86.2%)

2016: 51,769 votes (89.3%)

Loss: -3.1%

 

ATWIMA NWABIAGYA NORTH

2020: 48,817 votes (78.0%)

2016: 38,604 votes (80.4%)

Loss: -2.4%

 

ATWIMA NWABIAGYA SOUTH

2020: 58,109 votes (80.2%)

2016: 48,172 votes (82.8%)

Loss: -2.6%

 

NEW EDUBIASE

2020: 17,713 votes (47.0%)

2016: 16,031 votes (49.4%)

Loss: -2.4%

 

ATWIMA MPONUA

2020: 37,457 votes (57.4%)

2016: 35,817 votes (63.1%)

Loss: -5.7%

 

ADANSI ASOKWA

2020: 19,519 votes (63.8%)

2016: 18,643 votes (61.8%)

Gain: +2.0%

 

AHAFO ANO NORTH

2020: 22,916 votes (54.3%)

2016: 20,380 votes (55.3%)

Loss: -1.0%

 

AHAFO ANO SOUTH-EAST

2020: 16,084 votes (55.5%)

2016: 14,538 votes (56.5%)

Loss: -1.0%

 

AHAFO ANO SOUTH-WEST

2020: 17,220 votes (57.9%)

2016: 16,044 votes (61.7%)

Loss: -3.8%

 

AKROFUOM

2020: 11,869 votes (58.5%)

2016: 11,177 votes (65.6%)

Loss: -7.1%

 

ODOTOBRI

2020: 32,037 votes (79.6%)

2016: 30,433 votes (86.7%)

Loss: -7.1%

 

OBUASI WEST

2020: 35,144 votes (72.1%)

2016: 34,660 votes (73.5%)

Loss: -1.4%

 

MANSO NKWANTA

2020: 34,386 votes (76.2%)

2016: 32,853 votes (85.1%)

Loss: -8.9%

 

MANSO ADUBIA

2020: 29,125 votes (65.3%)

2016: 27,672 votes (82.6%)

Loss: -17.3%

 

FOMENA

2020: 19,224 votes (74.3%)

2016: 16,098 votes (79.1%)

Loss: -4.8%

 

MANHYIA NORTH

2020: 40,425 votes (71.1%)

2016: 38,334 votes (75.6%)

Loss: -4.5%

 

MANHYIA SOUTH

2020: 27,932 votes (83.8%)

2016: 36,130 votes (86.2%)

Loss: -2.4%

 

ASOKWA

2020: 56,909 votes (80.6%)

2016: 56,242 votes (83.9%)

Loss: -3.3%

 

SUAME

2020: 65,733 votes (83.7%)

2016: 67,589 votes (87.2%)

Loss: -3.5%

 

SUBIN

2020: 43,051 votes (74.4%)

2016: 48,660 votes (78.3%)

Loss: -3.9%

 

OLD TAFO

2020: 42,363 votes (74.0%)

2016: 45,164 votes (77.9%)

Loss: -3.9%

 

BANTAMA

2020: 57,360 votes (86.2%)

2016: 51,696 votes (88.4%)

Loss: -2.2%

 

KWADASO

2020: 61,908 votes (87.1%)

2016: 61,072 votes (89.4%)

Loss: -2.3%

 

NHYIAESO

2020: 51,411 votes (81.0%)

2016: 48,538 votes (83.2%)

Loss: -2.2%

 

OFFINSO NORTH

2020: 20,010 votes (52.8%)

2016: 18,161 votes (53.9%)

Loss: -1.1%

 

OFFINSO SOUTH

2020: 38,692 votes (64.9%)

2016: 35,216 votes (68.6%)

Loss: -3.7%

 

KWABRE EAST

2020: 86,437 votes (77.4%)

2016: 71,112 votes (81.8%)

Loss: -4.4%

 

ATWIMA KWANWOMA

2020: 77,487 votes (83.4%)

2016: 54,252 votes (86.3%)

Loss: -2.9%

 

OFORIKROM

2020: 62,259 votes (73.1%)

2016: 61,191 votes (73.0%)

Gain: +0.1%

 

ASAWASE

2020: 35,214 votes (42.4%)

2016: 39,363 votes (54.0%)

Loss: -11.6%

 

EFFIDUASE-ASOKORE

2020: 27,003 votes (79.9%)

2016: 26,258 votes (82.0%)

Loss: -2.1%

 

EJISU

2020: 68,724 votes (82.1%)

2016: 55,312 votes (84.9%)

Loss: -2.8%

 

JUABEN

2020: 24,983 votes (76.6%)

2016: 23,340 votes (79.9%)

Loss: -3.3%

 

KUMAWU

2020: 23,502 votes (80.7%)

2016: 22,831 votes (81.9%)

Loss: -1.2%

 

SEKYERE AFRAM PLAINS

2020: 6,331 votes (40.4%)

2016: 3,172 votes (34.9%)

Gain: +5.5%

 

NSUTA-KWAMANG

2020: 22,043 votes (67.6%)

2016: 20,213 votes (70.0%)

Loss: -2.4%

 

MAMPONG

2020: 39,421 votes (75.6%)

2016: 37,378 votes (78.2%)

Loss: -2.6%

 

ASANTE AKYEM CENTRAL

2020: 31,450 votes (73.3%)

2016: 28,801 votes (79.1%)

Loss: -5.8%

 

ASANTE AKYEM SOUTH

2020: 35,516 votes (65.3%)

2016: 33,657 votes (68.3%)

Loss: -3.0%

 

ASANTE AKYEM NORTH

2020: 27,155 votes (69.8%)

2016: 25,876 votes (71.9%)

Loss: -2.1%

 

BOSOME FREHO

2020: 21,220 votes (76.6%)

2016: 19,593 votes (79.2%)

Loss: -2.6%

 

BOSOMTWE

2020: 57,939 votes (84.1%)

2016: 45,866 votes (85.0%)

Loss: -0.9%

 

EJURA –SEKYEDUMASE

2020: 25,079 votes (44.9%)

2016: 20,477 votes (45.4%)

Loss: -0.5%

 

AFIGYA SEKYERE EAST

2020: 42,637 votes (78.7%)

2016: 41,214 votes (79.6%)

Loss: -0.9%

Source: Ghanatodayonline.com

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